In August 2004 a series of landslides in the form of debris flows occurred in Scotland. (2014). Landslides in a changing climate. “Built-up area exposure to landslides and related social impacts in Molise (Italy) - advancing culture of Living with Landslides,” in Advances in Landslide Science Vol 2, eds M. Mikos, B. Tiwari, Y. Yin, and K. Sassa (Cham: Springer International Publishing), 837–845. Dev. We carried out geotechnical tests to characterize the soil. doi: 10.1080/01431161.2011.630331. Further, with our application we investigate the extent of this potential loss considering future land cover changes anticipated by a business as usual (BAU) scenario in the two considered European Countries, highlighting how the same natural process might result in quite different economic consequences. Indeed, the effects of such small events. Numerical and graphical illustrations reveal distinct patterns that emerge with respect to accident time and location, thereby highlighting the uncertainties inherent to commonly used data sources. Sci. This is attributable to the extension of the single class in the area and even more to the initial economic value. region, southern Italy). available on the visible effects (i.e. The histograms in Figures 4, 5 indicate for both case studies a quantification of the loss of value for land cover types after considering the susceptibility for the present and the scenario (2007/2010 real and 2050 real). The prevailing land use is represented by crops (55.4%), forest lands (32.87%), and pasture (4.7%). features of slow-moving landslides evolving along medium-deep Additionally, climate change is playing an essential role in the occurrence and distribution. In one event boulders of up to 10 tonnes were deposited, with one boulder estimated at 90 tonnes. In particular, the UKCIP02 (deterministic) and UKCP09 (probabilistic) climate change forecasts, current climate data and historic trends in Scotland’s climate are discussed to obtain a clear picture of recent, current and likely future trends. The landslide hazards cross provincial boundaries and impact many sectors of the Canadian economy. Environ. Yalcin, A., Reis, S., Aydinoglu, A. C., and Yomralioglu, T. (2011). We suspect these could easily amount to another $15-25M per year. To allow the continuation of the forest expansion trends, we therefore had to modify the change rates of other processes, that occurred on a smaller spatial extent. width) on the exposed buildings along with possible conditioning crack pattern and (http://www.dft.gov.uk/webtag. Histogram of the Rivo land monetary values for 2007 and 2050, differentiated between the official standard values and those diminished by the interaction with landslide susceptibility (real). In the Bălăneasa area the land cover changes observed in the trend scenario are few, with a slight increase in the economic values (+0.29 Mln€) ascribable mostly to the changes from forest to pasture. All rights reserved. and elongated, NE-SW-oriented, smooth ridges alternating with large valleys carved in Mid-Upper Palaeogene flysch deposits (Eocene schistose sandstone flysch, Oligocene sandstone flysch with schistose intercalations, bitumen and conglomerates). Selection of these two areas lies in the fact that they are representative for the rural environment in the respective countries. The debris was then deposited further down the slope where the gradient slackened. My colleagues Pete Barlow, Joel Van Hove and I put this together based on information we’ve collected through our project work over the past several years. Variations in the susceptibility to landslides, as a consequence of land cover changes: a look to the past, and another towards the future. Boerboom, L. G. J., and Alan, Ö. O. Western Canada’s oil and gas production primarily occurs east of the Rocky Mountains in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. 8, 147–151. However, when it comes to rural areas the main economic resources are strictly tied to the exploitation of agricultural, pastoral, and natural resources, therefore land damage represents a serious threat to the socio-economic development. strategies over medium/long period. presence and interactions of/with anthropic structures/ It has now been established that infrastructure owners and operators consider different factors in their restoration strategies depending on the available resources and their priorities, the importance of the asset and the level of damage. Currently, no integrated framework that accounts for the nature and sequence of multiple hazards and their impacts, the different strategies of restoration, and hence the quantification of resilience in that respect exists and this is an acknowledged gap that needs urgently filling. For the Bălăneasa catchment case study, we performed the land cover scenario and the associated susceptibility (for years 2010 and 2050) by adopting the same methodology used for the Rivo catchment. While extreme events are seldom by nature, they contain important information that is essential for any statistical analysis. data presented here relates to events that occurred in a road environment and for which there were no casualties. In principle the impa, ciples and metrics, albeit that experience. Sci. Rosskopf, C. M., and Aucelli, P. P. C. (2007). The study puts forward a well-informed asset resilience index, which accounts for the full, partial or no restoration of asset damage between the subsequent hazard occurrences. Copyright © 2018 Zumpano, Pisano, Malek, Micu, Aucelli, Rosskopf, Balteanu and Parise. These highest risk sites are subject to the first known quantitative risk assessments for road user fatalities as a result of debris flows. Bull. Ecol. Second, a comparative assessment framework for different approaches to extreme value analysis is proposed. Gariano, S. L., and Guzzetti, F. (2016). The geomorphological parameters were derived in GIS environment from a DEM (25 m cell size) extracted from a topographical map produced by the Military Topographic Direction (scale 1:25,000); the soil map (scale 1:100,000) was available from the Institute of Geography Archives, and the land cover map was derived from digital aerial photo interpretation. General overview of the study areas locations (in A Rivo catchment; in B Balaneasa catchment) and landslides bodies (reported in red) used for the analysis. For example, forest expansion was observed as the prevailing process in the landscape. Natural Resources Canada reports that landslides account for an estimated $200-400 million in direct and indirect costs in Canada each year. More information on the land cover classification and the underlying data are available in Malek et al. For. (http://www.transportscotland.gov.uk/stag/home. In this case, the landslide direct damage can be identified as the partial or complete loss of agricultural production and of soil productivity in time, and/or the reduction in land value. VZ, LP, MP, and PPCA were responsible for the conceptual design of the work. Moving to the loss due to susceptibility (Figures 3C,F), for both years the highest value corresponding to the highest susceptibility classes is 0.252 €/m2. They are thus important to, the most difficult costs to determine as they ar, socially. Total Environ. properties of geomaterials), both conventional inclinometer monitoring The willingness construct is intended to provide a readily understood framework for infrastructure owners and operators, amongst others, to understand how their approach to risk management compares with those in other regions, countries and contexts. This procedure allowed the estimation of the economic losses in the two case-study areas, highlighting how the same natural processes might result in different economical consequences. Hazards, such as ground movements, debris flow, earthquakes and floods are major threats to infrastructure around the world, causing significant physical and socio-economic losses. For both case studies we decided to use also the present economic values for the future land cover scenario. Ph.D Thesis, Institute of Geography, Bucharest. doi: 10.1038/nature16467, PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar, Malek, Ž., Scolobig, A., and Schröter, D. (2014).